I don't know what it's called, this fallacy or syndrome, but I find this list of cognitive errors in medicine pretty interesting: https://first10em.com/cognitive-errors/ ("anchoring" & "diagnostic momentum" seem kin here).
So interesting! Thanks for the list and pointing to those two ideas in particular. I think you're onto something for sure—and I see some of these strains in Kahneman. And there's Kahneman's plain-old optimism bias potentially at work here too? "I am a better-than-average driver," "I am less likely to be the victim of a crime," etc that we all carry around.
This was great to find out about, Sara. And I found it really helpful for you to point out the fallacy of thinking that just because we know what's wrong with something means we are somehow immune.
I've been finding much pleasure over the pandemic of being on a Signal chat with eight friends. When we share, it doesn't feel like we are speaking to a context-less "audience" like on Instagram. It feels like we are having a real live conversation, without all of the other greasy motives that surface on Facebook or Instagram.
Dan, thank you for this! And sorry to be so long in replying. I think you're not alone in this, and I still struggle to consider the virtues of serendipity alongside these already-known fortification efforts.
I don't know what it's called, this fallacy or syndrome, but I find this list of cognitive errors in medicine pretty interesting: https://first10em.com/cognitive-errors/ ("anchoring" & "diagnostic momentum" seem kin here).
So interesting! Thanks for the list and pointing to those two ideas in particular. I think you're onto something for sure—and I see some of these strains in Kahneman. And there's Kahneman's plain-old optimism bias potentially at work here too? "I am a better-than-average driver," "I am less likely to be the victim of a crime," etc that we all carry around.
This was great to find out about, Sara. And I found it really helpful for you to point out the fallacy of thinking that just because we know what's wrong with something means we are somehow immune.
I've been finding much pleasure over the pandemic of being on a Signal chat with eight friends. When we share, it doesn't feel like we are speaking to a context-less "audience" like on Instagram. It feels like we are having a real live conversation, without all of the other greasy motives that surface on Facebook or Instagram.
Dan, thank you for this! And sorry to be so long in replying. I think you're not alone in this, and I still struggle to consider the virtues of serendipity alongside these already-known fortification efforts.